Sunday, July 31, 2011

Questions and Answers on HI Exchange Regultions

From the 7/18/11 issue of Health Plan Weekly:

HHS on July 11 released its proposed regulations for the development and operation of insurance exchanges (see story, p. 1). HHS has made it clear that it wants stakeholders to weigh in on the proposals by providing a 75-day comment period. Industry observers interviewed by HPW say HHS might be flooded with comments given the number of unresolved issues and questions that haven’t been fully answered.

Here’s a look at questions, answers…and more questions based on the proposed regs, and how they could impact health insurers, brokers and the states:

(1) Which insurers will participate? While some states might opt to allow all qualified health plans (QHPs) to participate, the reg also suggests that exchanges could undertake a competitive bidding or selective contracting process, which would limit participation similar to a state contract with Medicaid managed care companies. “The reference to Medicaid managed care was a bit surprising because that signals that there could be a degree of competitive bidding with a potentially limited number of winners,” says Caroline Pearson, senior manager at the Washington, D.C., advisory services company Avalere Health. “Medicaid managed care frequently results in only one or two plans being available in a market. I think [states] will have to question the feasibility of having just one plan in the market.” She adds that while Massachusetts has been “fairly aggressive” in its criteria for participation in its Connector exchanges, Vermont might be the state most likely to limit participation as it moves toward a single-payer system. Deborah Chollet, a senior fellow at Mathematica Policy Research, says it’s unlikely that an exchange will exclude qualified carriers, at least initially.

(2) How much influence will health insurers have? Advocacy groups lobbied against allowing health insurers to participate on governing boards. While HHS would allow health plan representatives to participate, they would not be allowed to have a voting majority on governance boards. Instead, the majority would need to come from consumer representatives. Health plans, brokers and other related professions will likely be counted together. Most states that have made some governance decisions already have included one or two health plan representatives. But six states already have explicitly prohibited health plan representation. “I think insurers will have a voice on most governance boards, but I don’t think they will be driving the decision making,” says Pearson. Still, consumer groups likely will push HHS to curb health insurer influence even more, says Manny Munson-Regala, vice president of strategy and partnerships at Ceridian Corp., a technology firm that provides back-office services for exchanges. Some exchanges, he adds, might opt to use insurance company representatives only as advisors and restrict them from any policy decisions. Prior to joining Ceridian this year, Munson Regala was deputy commissioner of the Minnesota Department of Commerce’s Market Assurance Division.

(3) Will brokers have a role? The reform law allows agents or brokers to help individuals and employers enroll in coverage offered through an exchange. But brokers aren’t likely to operate as “Navigators,” who would perform a similar function but are not able to accept payment from a health plan. While states have the ability to exclude brokers from an exchange, it’s unlikely that will happen, particularly during the first few years. “Drawing from the experience in Massachusetts, we expect that agents and brokers will have more of an ongoing role in the SHOP [i.e., Small Business Health Options Program] exchanges than in the individual exchanges. SHOP exchanges are more administratively complex [for employers] who are buying for a group,” Pearson explains. The proposed regulation “seems to assume that agents and brokers will be a part of the process,” adds Munson-Regala. “Any smart exchange will have a big red button at the bottom of the website that says ‘still confused? Press here to be connected to a broker.’” The exchange also could provide brokers with an opportunity to talk with consumers about other products such as long-term care or life insurance, he adds.

(4) What will the federal exchange look like? The reform law requires the federal government to operate an exchange for any state that is not able to build its own by the deadline. But it’s unclear exactly what a federal exchange will look like, who will pay for it and whether it will need to be financially self-sufficient, as required of state-operated exchanges. “Until you know how the feds will create and run an exchange, there’s no way for states to know how they can take control back,” says Cindy Gillespie, a managing director at McKenna Long & Aldridge, where she leads the law firm’s health insurance exchange group.

(5) Who will collect premiums? It’s still unclear who will collect premiums from those who purchase coverage through an exchange particularly in the individual market. Requiring the state to do this is a big overhead cost, but insurers might not be set up to do it either, says Gillespie, who notes that some Medicaid managed care plans have no experience collecting premiums from individuals. More importantly, HHS hasn’t laid out how subsidies and tax credits will flow through the exchanges, she adds.

(6) How much of a role will HHS have? Some states have expressed a preference for a “flexible state partnership model” that would combine state and federal business functions. The reg suggests that functions such as eligibility and enrollment could be shared. A federally run exchange also might operate a web portal that could be used by multiple states. Munson-Regala suggests that some states might operate the SHOP exchange on their own, but look for federal assistance on the individual exchange, which will be complicated by the individual mandate and subsidies.

(7) How will adverse selection be addressed? While the proposed regulation didn’t discuss products offered outside of the exchanges, it did suggest fixed annual enrollment periods, which could help prevent people from enrolling in coverage only when they need care. It also outlines several special enrollment periods that could be made available if, for example, a participant wants to move to a different coverage tier after a change in income status. “There is a need to limit adverse selection, but there also needs to be freedom for consumers to change plans based on their circumstances,” says Pearson.

Thursday, July 28, 2011

More Thoughts on the Future of Employee Sponsored Insurance

While I do not see a wholesale move away from ESI due to the ACA in the large group market, the economic advantages make it almost impossible for small employers not to drop their coverage, offer a defined contribution through an HRA and have their employees shop its state's health insurance exchange for coverage. This move would save them both money and headaches.

We are going to see the ongoing move to defined contribution and many other changes like HSA etc but the workplace will continue to be a major source of access to coverage even if payment mechanisms and coverage options like Exchanges are now part of the mix. Good overview below:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/wendell-potter/got-health-insurance-thro_b_878050.html

As for the McKinsey study, as I noted yesterday it has come under major criticism and was called out by the Senate Finance Committee.
http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2011/06/max-baucus-issues-public-call-to-mckinsey-to-come-clean-about-controversial-hcr-survey.php

Also IFEBP's study didn't support their conclusions:
http://www.plansponsor.com/Despite_Anticipated_Costs_Most_Employers_to_Keep_Health_Care_Benefits.aspx

Nor did the Urban Institute study (1/2011) co authored by the head of McKinsey's healthcare practice.
http://www.urban.org/uploadedpdf/412295-Employer-Sponsored-Insurance.pdf

Also the MA experience is indeed relevant as it is the only one to compare to other than UT which also has declined a point or 2 since their limited exchange went into effect. Here is a total review of MA by the BCBS of MA that is quite interesting:
https://c.na7.content.force.com/servlet/servlet.FileDownload?file=015A0000001ZOSL

With nearly 3 years until ACA becomes fully implemented many things will evolve, and I do not believe a SCOTUS strike down will occur of the individual mandate.

The option of doing nothing or simply trying to leave it "to the market" is a non-starter because there is no real market or incentive for the insurers to change and become more consumer friendly and transparent.

It will be interesting to watch this all evolve esp. with the MLR limits and total transparency for health plan exec comp. and for rate increase requests, rebates etc. Aetna and BS of CA are already showing that the MLR's can reduce premiums.

As I have said many times before, health care insurance is a truly dynamic field with more and more changes and shifts to come.




Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Revisiting trhe McKinnsey Employer Survey

McKinnsey has come under heavy criticism for its survey results that said 30% of employers would drop coverage once the ACA was fully implemented in 2014. But my experience in health care insurance makes me think the number is not that far off. Here is another take on the survey that I agree with:

However, based on what I’ve learned in my not-entirely-random walk through the health insurance market, McKinsey’s findings accurately reflect current employer thinking. The ACA’s incentives to move toward a consumer market and away from employer-provided health insurance could prove to be far stronger than its drafters intended. I was surprised that only 37 percent of employers under fifty employees “probably or definitely” intended to drop coverage, since there are no penalties for doing so and the subsidies for their workers to get Exchange-based coverage are so compelling. If anything, McKinsey’s survey understates the likely employer abandonment of the small group market.

According to Urban Institute’s Eugene Steuerle, a family of four with cash income of $30,000 a year is almost $14,000 to the good by going through the Exchange and picking up the premium subsidies rather than getting coverage from their employer. Even at $42,000 in family income, the Exchange advantage is close to $7000 a year. On this point, my employee benefit friends are virtually unanimous: except for high wage employers like law firms or consultants, it doesn’t make sense, for small employers or their workers, for small employers to continue offering coverage given these incentives.

How large employers will respond is a conundrum. The angry reaction to the McKinsey study was clearly intended to tamp down a stampede for the exits (as well as to deter further studies which reached a similar conclusion). There is no consensus among the employee benefits community about what large employers should do. Some analysts rightly point to corporate inertia, the “malign paternalism” of corporate human resources managers, and collective bargaining agreements as supporting continued provision of employer sponsored health benefits. There is also the “what is my competitor doing?” factor. McKinsey’s study findings probably significantly overstate, (in the mid 20 percent range) the number of large employers that will ultimately drop coverage. Far more likely is a shift to some type of defined contribution model.

From Health Affairs blog

Thursday, July 21, 2011

Health Insurers' Concerns About Exchange Participation

From Price Waterhouse Coopers:

Insurers’ Concerns About Participating in a Health Insurance Exchange (HIX)


  1. Adverse selection (46%)
  2. Ability to integrate technology with the exchange (40%)
  3. Ability to charge enough to make a profit (37%)
  4. Effectiveness of the risk adjustment process (36%)
  5. Administrative costs of our business will rise disproportionately to the profits gained (36%)
  6. Managing the movement of consumers between Medicaid and the exchanges (35%)
  7. Ability to customize plans (33%)
  8. Understanding the behavior and buying preferences of newly eligible consumers (25%)

Notes: Respondents were able to select up to three answers
Source: PwC Health Research Institute Health Insurer Survey, 2011
Source URL: http://www.pwc.com/us/HIX


Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Regs Posted on CO-OPs

HHS released regs on an alternative to health insurers--CO-OPs. According to the regs these entities must:

  1. Be non-profit,
  2. Use an integrated care model,
  3. Be member-run, and
  4. Be approved by the state insurance department
I think some ACOs are natural candies for this alternative since they will already have an integrated care model in place. HHS wants at least on CO-OP in every state and will make over $3,5B in loans available.